Modi Government Part III: Foreign Policy


What BJP Manifesto says

“We will create a web of allies to mutually further our
interests.”

What RSS says?

·        
Bharat Maata must be restored to its Global-power status

·        
Strict policy 
on alleged Bangladeshi illegal migrants,
Pakistan’s armed infiltators and PLA 
incursions

·        
India a natural homeland for Pak/Bangla Hindu
refugees

·        
Closer ties with Nepal, Bhutan & perhaps Indo-China (brotherly Dharmic Countries).

Brief thoughts on relations with selected few countries…

Afghanistan

Greater
military assistance to Afghanistan Government to tackle Taliban perhaps?

Pakistan

Little
hope for improvement. Though a BJP led Government does have greater leeway than
Congress in constructively engaging with Pakistan (without being branded as too
soft on terror); Pakistani Generals have reasserted their tight grip over the
State by  expelling Indian Journos, repeated
Ceasefire violations at LoC and closing down of Geo TV in recent days.  Another round of Jihad-e-Kashmir or
Gazwa-e-Kabul and Modi’s hawkish Anti-Pakistan rhetoric can make matters worse.
Also Pakistani media/politicians/diplomats/agencies, who have engaged in
Anti-Modi rhetoric in near past, will find it difficult to  re-engage.  
   

Bangladesh

Likely to worsen. Since BJP has
simple majority in Lower House, it can hammer out Teesta water sharing and Land
enclave settlement without Mamta’s backing. But on BD, Modi and RSS rhetoric has
been primarily focussed on Bangla immigrant issue & fencing the border.
Also a Secularist Hasina may find it difficult to engage with Mr Modi.  Any major Anti-Bengali Muslim rioting or State
sponsored repatriation effort on Indian side, can make matters worse.

Sri Lanka

Likely
to get better- BJP doesn’t need support of Dravidian parties to stay in power and
also has little (though no longer zilch) at stake in Tamil Nadu’s local politics. DMK, AIADMK may very
well raise their Anti-Sri Lanka rhetoric but may not prove as effective as they
were under UPA Government in shaping India’s foreign Policy w.r.t Sri Lanka.

Nepal

Greater
assistance for ‘brotherly’ Hindu majority country. Only major danger is RSS tying
itself in knots if it pushes Modi Government to take side of Nepal’s pro-Monarchy
& Hindu Nationalist RPP-N . Nepali Maoists are another group that hold
potential of derailing reapproachment India.

China

Business
as usual. Perhaps Modi can bring some Chinese expertise for proposed
mega-infrastructure projects.

Russia

No
hiccups, should remain warm as ever.

Japan

Good
days ahead. Modi as CM has good experience of working with Japan plus great chemistry
b/w the two Modi and Abe
.

USA & EU

Despite
Visa ban on Modi in past, relations likely to get better with time.  Convergence of Geopolitical interests
(containing China’s military rise), RSS’s American fanbase, Modi’s pro-business
tilt and India’s huge market-should force both sides to bury the past and move
on with business.

Israel

Will
get a major boost. RSS has great admiration for the Jewish State. Under NDA
regime, Jaswant Singh became the first Indian Foreign Minister to visit Israel
in 2000 and in 2003, Ariel Sharon was the first Israeli PM to visit India. Mr Modi
is already being touted as Israel’s best friend in South
Asia

Arab States

Regular
‘pay as you go’ business likely to continue. For India’s economy, the Oil must
flow; while given the long view (emergence of India as a major Asian Power),
precarious stability situation within Arab nations; Arabs also in no position
to annoy India.

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Malik
10 years ago

This is somewhat off topic but can anyone estimate about how many people in India/South Asia are in the global middle class and approximately at First World levels? I would really appreciate discussion on this topic. Thanks!

Naveen Kumar
10 years ago
Reply to  Malik

Interesting Question. Stay tuned for a brief post on that 🙂

Asok
10 years ago

I'm not a Hintudvati by any stretch of the imagination, but I do agree with this: "India a natural homeland for Pak/Bangla Hindu refugees"

Brown Pundits